National League South | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Park View Road
Dover Athletic

Welling United
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Di Trolio (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Chippenham 4-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South

Dover Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Farnborough
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Welling United would win this match.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawDover Athletic
57.18% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21.76% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)21.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)40.85% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)63.24% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)14.09% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.29% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)41.71% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)33.06% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)69.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 57.18%
    Dover Athletic 21.06%
    Draw 21.76%
Welling UnitedDrawDover Athletic
2-1 @ 9.9%
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 57.18%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 21.06%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Dover Athletic
2-2
Welling United
Lock (51'), C. (90+8')
Tanga (16'), Bramble (31')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Dover Athletic
0-0
Welling United
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Welling United
1-1
Dover Athletic
Parry (77')
Kandi (81')
Mar 8, 2016 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
2-1
Welling United
Payne (23'), Raggett (51')
Orlu (64'), Magri (92')
Bakare (2')
Williams (45'), Gayle (72')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Welling United
1-2
Dover Athletic
Corne (94')
Vidal (77')
Modeste (13'), Deverdics (68')
Magri (43'), Thomas (61'), Miller (79')