National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
3 - 1
Weston

Fish (32'), Papadopoulos (90+1'), Amoo (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dodd (76')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yeovil 0-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-2 St Albans City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawWeston-super-Mare
32.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.03% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)42.51% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)46.6% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)68.87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63%27.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01)55.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 32.46%
    Weston-super-Mare 42.51%
    Draw 25.02%
Welling UnitedDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.46%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.51%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Weston
4-2
Welling United
Reid (32', 76'), Wood (58' og.), Morton (81')
Abrahams (54' pen.), Chambers (83')