National League South Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Charlie Ruff 29' goal
  • George Alexander 41' goal
  • George Alexander 80' goal
  • Charlie Ruff 83' goal
  • goal Brandon Barzey 47'

Chelmsford City vs Dartford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
Taunton Town 2 - 3 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Dartford

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
Truro City 0 - 0 Dartford
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Luke Coulson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dartford had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Dartford win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result

Chelmsford City 58.32% (+0.01)
Draw 22.41% (+0.01)
Dartford 19.27% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.4% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.78% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 46.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 31.48% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.52% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.71% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.29% (+0.01)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 84.46% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.54% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 55.53% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 44.47% (+0.01)

Dartford Goals

Over 0.5 62.04% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.97% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 25.27% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.73% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 58.31%
Draw 22.4%
Dartford 19.27%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.98% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.35% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 5.9% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 22.4%
Dartford
0-1 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 19.27%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Princes Park
  • Maxwell Statham 24' goal
  • Harvey Bradbury 59' redcard
  • goal Samir Carruthers 45'+1'
  • goal Charlie Ruff 54'
National League South Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Princes Park
  • Luke Coulson 40' goal
  • goal Ody Alfa 83'
  • goal Giovanni McGregor 90'+3'
National League South Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Louis Dunne 89' goal
National League South Gameweek 32
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jack Jebb 19' goal
  • Danny Leonard 26' goal
  • goal Tom Blackwell 51'
  • redcard Max Porter 53'
National League South Gameweek 11
Oct 25, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Dickens 35' redcard
National League South Gameweek 28
Mar 15, 2021 7.45pm