Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.