National League South | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cygnet Health Care Stadium

Taunton Town
2 - 3
Chelmsford City

Bell (5'), Grimes (20')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Francis (36'), Ruff (90+3', 90+7')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Taunton Town and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Taunton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-2 Chippenham
Wednesday, March 20 at 7.45pm in National League South

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-1 Bath City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Taunton TownDrawChelmsford City
21.84%24.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.98% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)50.39% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.7% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.48% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.58% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Taunton Town 21.84%
    Chelmsford City 53.98%
    Draw 24.18%
Taunton TownDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 3.33%
3-1 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 21.84%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 11.79%
0-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 5.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.98%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Chelmsford City
0-0
Taunton Town
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Chelmsford City
1-2
Taunton Town
Krasniqi (68' pen.)
Sims-Burgess (10'), Lucas (49')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Taunton Town
0-0
Chelmsford City