National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
1 - 1
Chelmsford City

Fasanmade (83' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
(23'), Alexander (23')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 3-0 Chippenham
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 63.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 15.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawChelmsford City
15.87% (-0.438 -0.44)20.27% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)63.86% (0.497 0.5)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-0.823 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51% (-0.586 -0.59)42.49% (0.589 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-0.587 -0.59)64.89% (0.589 0.59)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25% (-0.913 -0.91)39.74% (0.916 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58% (-0.85 -0.85)76.41% (0.85299999999999 0.85)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)12.62% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.25% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)38.75% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 15.87%
    Chelmsford City 63.86%
    Draw 20.27%
Chippenham TownDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 4.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.42% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 15.87%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.27%
0-2 @ 10.74% (0.25 0.25)
0-1 @ 10.38% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.41% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 6.84% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.84% (0.078 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.59% (0.03 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 63.86%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Chelmsford City
2-2
Chippenham
Jenkins (43'), Fasanmade (90+3' og.)
Ellison (26'), Windsor (71')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Chippenham
2-3
Chelmsford City
Hanks (45+3'), Warwick (90+1')
Sheringham (12' pen., 17'), Jackson (60')