Wealdstone
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. George's Stadium
MK Dons

Wealdstone
1 - 3
MK Dons

Boldewijn (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wearne (13'), Tomlinson (17'), Dennis (81')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Wealdstone and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 MK Dons
Wednesday, July 24 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
WealdstoneDrawMK Dons
22.78% (0.02 0.02)22.71% (0.013999999999999 0.01)54.51% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.7% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)43.06% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.46% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.73% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)15.72% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (-0.055 -0.05)44.81% (0.052 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 22.78%
    MK Dons 54.51%
    Draw 22.71%
WealdstoneDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 5.94% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 22.78%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.07% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.81% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.51%