National League | Gameweek 35

Apr 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
4 - 2
Dorking

Barrett (57'), Kretzschmar (70', 73' pen.), Allarakhia (77')
Henry (64'), Allarakhia (67'), Allarakhia (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barker (46' og.), Carter (54')
Cook (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's National League clash between Wealdstone and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 0-0 Altrincham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
49.81% ( 0.02)	23.31% ( -0.09)	26.88% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 59.15% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.13% (

0.44)

41.86% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.73% (

0.44)

64.27% (

-0.44)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.04% (

0.17)

16.96% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.95% (

0.31)

47.05% (

-0.31)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

0.28)

28.77% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

0.34)

64.61% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 49.81%

Dorking Wanderers 26.88%

Draw 23.3%

Wealdstone	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.08% Total : 49.81%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.88%