National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
1 - 1
Dorking

Barrett (2')
Tolaj (28'), Daly (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rutherford (75')
Moore (31'), Fuller (34'), Fuller (34')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 4-0 Aldershot
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 0-2 Bromley
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
64.7% ( -0.11)	18.97% ( 0.05)	16.33% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.54% (

-0.16)

35.46% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.5% (

-0.17)

57.5% (

0.17)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.66% (

-0.07)

10.34% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.21% (

-0.17)

33.79% (

0.16)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16% (

-0.03)

34.83% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43% (

-0.04)

71.57% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 64.7%

Dorking Wanderers 16.33%

Draw 18.97%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.06% Total : 64.7%	1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.97%	1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.33%