National League | Gameweek 41

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
6 - 0
Dorking

Kabamba (10' pen.), O'Donkor (21'), Stead (31', 38'), Gorman (80'), Brunt (90+1')
Hall-Johnson (61'), Walker (74'), Okimo (77')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Taylor (9'), Cook (13'), Rutherford (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Barnet and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 1-1 Solihull
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
66.96% ( -0.04)	18.09% ( 0.02)	14.94% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.3% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.93% (

-0.06)

34.07% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.05% (

-0.06)

55.95% (

0.07)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.59% (

-0.03)

9.41% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.35% (

-0.06)

31.65% (

0.06)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.35% (

-0)

35.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.58% (

-0.01)

72.41% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Barnet 66.96%

Dorking Wanderers 14.94%

Draw 18.09%

Barnet	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 4.62% Total : 66.96%	1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.09%	1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 14.94%