National League | Gameweek 39

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
2 - 0
Dorking

Scott-Morriss (27'), Cardwell (85')
Woodman (58'), Scott-Morriss (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Muitt (26')

Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 4-2 Dorking
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 13.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Southend United in this match.

Result
Southend United	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
68.86% ( 0.18)	17.97% ( -0.12)	13.17% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 53.6% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.27% (

0.43)

37.73% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.03% (

0.46)

59.97% (

-0.46)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.06% (

0.16)

9.94% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.11% (

0.37)

32.89% (

-0.37)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.52% (

0.19)

40.48% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.91% (

0.17)

77.09% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Southend United 68.85%

Dorking Wanderers 13.17%

Draw 17.97%

Southend United	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 8.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.86% Total : 68.85%	1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.97%	1-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 13.17%