National League | Gameweek 30

Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
1 - 2
Southend

Duku (33')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ralph (45'), Miley (64')
Miley (25'), Scott-Morriss (90+9')

Coverage of the National League clash between Wealdstone and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 4-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 4-2 Boreham Wood
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Southend United
27.33% ( -0.09)	24.24% ( -0.06)	48.43% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 56.37% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

0.17)

45.7% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

0.16)

68.02% (

-0.16)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56% (

0.02)

30.43% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.36% (

0.02)

66.64% (

-0.03)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

0.12)

18.96% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

0.21)

50.49% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 27.33%

Southend United 48.43%

Draw 24.23%

Wealdstone	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 27.33%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 48.43%