National League | Gameweek 42

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Court Place Farm

Oxford City
1 - 0
Wealdstone

Parker (24')
Fleet (4'), Parker (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 4-1 Wealdstone
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Wealdstone
27.36% ( -0.57)	22.81% ( -0.06)	49.84% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 61.37% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.88% (

-0.15)

39.12% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.55% (

-0.16)

61.45% (

0.17)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

-0.47)

27% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

-0.63)

62.35% (

0.63)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.07% (

0.17)

15.93% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.81% (

0.31)

45.19% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 27.36%

Wealdstone 49.84%

Draw 22.8%

Oxford City	Draw	Wealdstone
2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.36%	1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.82% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 49.84%