National League Gameweek 41
Fylde
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mill Farm Stadium
Oxford City
  • Joe Westley 60' goal
  • Ethan Mitchell 62' yellowcard
  • Nick Haughton 79' goal
  • goal Josh Parker 15'
  • yellowcard Reece Fleet 16'
  • yellowcard Lewie Coyle 38'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Roberts 44'
  • yellowcard Harley Birtwistle 71'
  • yellowcard Harry Birtwistle 71'
  • yellowcard Josh Ashby 85'

Fylde vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
Fylde 1 - 2 Wealdstone
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Nick Haughton

Oxford City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 12.15pm
Oxford City 0 - 2 Halifax
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Josh Parker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 74.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 10.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.

Result

Fylde 74.22% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 15.09% ▲ (+0.12)
Oxford City 10.69% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.51% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.84% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 30.16% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 48.62% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 3.5 51.38% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 4.5 29.48% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 4.5 70.52% ▲ (+0.29)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5 93.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 6.91% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 74.63% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 25.36% ▲ (+0.27)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 60.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.3%
Over 1.5 23.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.01%

Score analysis

Fylde 74.22%
Draw 15.09%
Oxford City 10.69%
Fylde
2-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 74.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 15.09%
Oxford City
1-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 10.69%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 15
Oxford City
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Court Place Farm
Fylde
  • Josh Parker 30' goal
  • Alfie Potter 58' yellowcard
  • Zac McEachran 70' yellowcard
  • Oliver Sanderson 81' goal
  • Oliver Sanderson 85' goal
  • yellowcard Nelson Khumbeni 12'
  • yellowcard Harry Davis 83'

Form Data

Fylde 1 - 2 Wealdstone
Kidderminster 1 - 1 Fylde
Chesterfield 4 - 1 Fylde
York City 1 - 3 Fylde
Fylde 4 - 1 Maidenhead
Boreham Wood 4 - 0 Fylde
Oxford City 0 - 2 Halifax
Chesterfield 2 - 0 Oxford City
Rochdale 2 - 2 Oxford City
Oxford City 1 - 2 Aldershot
Gateshead 4 - 0 Oxford City
Oxford City 2 - 5 Eastleigh