National League | Gameweek 41

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
2 - 1
Oxford City

Westley (60'), Haughton (79')
Mitchell (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Parker (15')
Fleet (16'), Coyle (38'), Roberts (44'), Birtwistle (71'), Birtwistle (71'), Ashby (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Fylde and Oxford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 1-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 0-2 Halifax
Sunday, March 17 at 12.15pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 74.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 10.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Oxford City
74.22% ( -0.22)	15.09% ( 0.11)	10.69% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.84% (

-0.26)

30.16% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.62% (

-0.31)

51.38% (

0.31)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.09% (

-0.1)

6.91% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.63% (

-0.27)

25.36% (

0.27)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7% (

39.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99% (

76.01%

Score Analysis

Fylde 74.22%

Oxford City 10.69%

Draw 15.09%

Fylde	Draw	Oxford City
2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.1% Total : 74.22%	1-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.09%	1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 10.69%