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National League | Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
New Bucks Head Ground
AFC Fylde

Kidderminster
1 - 1
Fylde

Morgan-Smith (83')
Kpekawa (20'), Brown (20'), Hemmings (62'), Pearce (78'), Emmanuel-Thomas (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haughton (33')
Whitehead (80'), Whitehead (81'), Richardson (88')
Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 York City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 4-1 Fylde
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawFylde
48.43% (1.031 1.03)24.52% (-0.175 -0.18)27.06% (-0.857 -0.86)
Both teams to score 55.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (0.16999999999999 0.17)47.13% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (0.157 0.16)69.36% (-0.157 -0.16)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (0.498 0.5)19.52% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59% (0.805 0.81)51.41% (-0.805 -0.81)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.56100000000001 -0.56)31.39% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.655 -0.66)67.76% (0.657 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 48.43%
    Fylde 27.06%
    Draw 24.51%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawFylde
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.084 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.193 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.172 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.43%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.06%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fylde
2-1
Kidderminster
Charman (79'), Conlan (86')
Ustabasi (8'), Haughton (34'), Ligendza (90+9')
Phillips (84')
Brown (49'), Penny (90')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Fylde
0-2
Kidderminster
Morgan-Smith (3', 35')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Fylde
2-1
Kidderminster
Haughton (6'), Dobbie (83')
Foulkes (52')