National League | Gameweek 42

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
1 - 1
Southend

Poleon (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cardwell (21')
Miley (6'), Scott-Morriss (30')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Gateshead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Solihull 0-3 Southend
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Southend United
35.35% ( 0.05)	24.81% ( -0.03)	39.85% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.29% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.09% (

0.13)

44.91% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.74% (

0.12)

67.26% (

-0.12)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17% (

0.09)

24.83% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.57% (

0.12)

59.43% (

-0.12)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.54% (

0.05)

22.46% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44% (

0.07)

56% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 35.35%

Southend United 39.85%

Draw 24.8%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Southend United
2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.35%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8%	1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.85%