Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Ebbsfleet United
National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Gateshead

Ebbsfleet
4 - 2
Gateshead

Samuel (8'), Bingham (51' pen., 64', 90+5')
Skura (30'), Samuel (58')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Whelan (40', 45+1')
Richardson (69'), Whelan (87'), Hannant (90+6')
Storey (5')
Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Aldershot 4-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League

Gateshead

All competitions
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Dag & Red
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawGateshead
37.35% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)25.07% (0.027999999999999 0.03)37.57% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.51% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (-0.128 -0.13)45.98% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (-0.121 -0.12)68.29% (0.122 0.12)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)24.22% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (-0.153 -0.15)58.56% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)24.1% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)58.4% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 37.35%
    Gateshead 37.57%
    Draw 25.06%
EbbsfleetDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.009 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.57%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Gateshead
4-1
Ebbsfleet
Richardson (5'), Wearne (55', 64' pen., 90')
Storey (52'), Hannant (61'), McBride (72')
Poleon (18')
Clifford (31'), Domi (49'), Cousins (64')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 51
Gateshead
1-1
Ebbsfleet
Mellish (4')
Barrow (21'), Hunter (36'), Thomson (49')
Bush (64')
Weston (21'), Bush (72')
Sep 8, 2018 5.15pm
Gameweek 13
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Gateshead
Bush (14' og.)
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gateshead
2-5
Ebbsfleet
Johnson (45', 66')
Mellish (24'), Montgomery (32')
Kedwell (33' pen., 62', 71'), Coulson (74'), Powell (83')
Aug 26, 2017 3pm
Ebbsfleet
0-0
Gateshead
Penn (58')