National League | Gameweek 45

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
1 - 0
Chesterfield

De Silva (75')
Kretzschmar (52'), Mundle-Smith (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Palmer (73')

Coverage of the National League clash between Wealdstone and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 4-2 Dorking
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-3 Kidderminster
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

102

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Chesterfield
28.77% ( 0.04)	22.1% ( -0.01)	49.13% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 65.13% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.33% (

0.08)

34.67% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.38% (

0.1)

56.62% (

-0.1)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22% (

0.07)

23.78% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06% (

0.1)

57.94% (

-0.11)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

0.02)

14.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.42% (

0.03)

42.58% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 28.77%

Chesterfield 49.13%

Draw 22.1%

Wealdstone	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.77%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.1%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.86% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.13%