National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
1 - 3
Kidderminster

Preston (31' og.)
Naylor (49'), Dobra (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hemmings (5'), Brown (48'), Preston (58')
Brown (28'), Brown (28'), Robinson (52'), Morgan-Smith (90+2')

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: York City 2-1 Chesterfield
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

101

Top scorers

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-3 Altrincham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
69.36% ( -0.34)	18.01% ( 0.18)	12.63% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 51.76% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.71% (

-0.44)

39.29% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.38% (

-0.46)

61.62% (

0.47)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.76% (

-0.2)

10.24% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.43% (

-0.46)

33.57% (

0.47)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.67% (

-0.03)

42.33% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.28% (

-0.03)

78.72% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 69.36%

Kidderminster Harriers 12.63%

Draw 18.01%

Chesterfield	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
2-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.5% Total : 69.36%	1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.01%	0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.63%