Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.