Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | West Ham United |
| 42.02% ( | 24.52% ( | 33.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.03% ( | 43.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% ( | 66.35% ( |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( | 21.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% | 53.8% ( |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( | 25.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( | 60.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.46% |