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Premier League

Crystal Palace logo
Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Selhurst Park
Aston Villa logo

Crystal Palace
5 - 0
Aston Villa

Mateta (9', 39', 63'), Eze (54', 69')
Andersen (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGinn (18'), Digne (58'), Luiz (73'), Lenglet (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Crystal Palace ease to a 5-0 victory over Aston Villa on the final day of the 2023-24 Premier League season, securing their place in the top half of the table.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last Game: Wolves 1-3 Crystal Palace
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Liverpool
Monday, May 13 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
40.56% (-1.837 -1.84)23.77% (0.02 0.02)35.67% (1.819 1.82)
Both teams to score 62.15% (0.384 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (0.318 0.32)39.91% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.73% (0.328 0.33)62.27% (-0.327 -0.33)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.684 -0.68)19.96% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87% (-1.114 -1.11)52.13% (1.116 1.12)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (1.136 1.14)22.35% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.16% (1.672 1.67)55.84% (-1.671 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 40.56%
    Aston Villa 35.67%
    Draw 23.77%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.264 -0.26)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.255 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 40.56%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.248 0.25)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.257 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.252 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.137 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.206 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.142 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.09 0.09)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.67%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Crystal Palace
57.7%
Draw
14.8%
Aston Villa
27.6%
196
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
3-1
Crystal Palace
Duran (87'), Luiz (90+8' pen.), Bailey (90+11')
McGinn (17'), Zaniolo (45+4'), Cash (86'), Duran (90+15'), Bailey (90+14')
Edouard (47')
Eze (17'), Hughes (53'), Ward (90+8')
> Match Report
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
1-0
Crystal Palace
Andersen (27' og.)
> Match Report
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Crystal Palace
3-1
Aston Villa
Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')
Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Aston Villa
1-1
Crystal Palace
Watkins (69')
Mings (9')
Schlupp (81')
Gallagher (14'), Edouard (76'), Kouyate (89')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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