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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Selhurst Park
Aston Villa logo

Crystal Palace
5 - 0
Aston Villa

Mateta (9', 39', 63'), Eze (54', 69')
Andersen (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGinn (18'), Digne (58'), Luiz (73'), Lenglet (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Crystal Palace ease to a 5-0 victory over Aston Villa on the final day of the 2023-24 Premier League season, securing their place in the top half of the table.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-3 Crystal Palace
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
40.56% (-1.837 -1.84) 23.77% (0.02 0.02) 35.67% (1.819 1.82)
Both teams to score 62.15% (0.384 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (0.318 0.32)39.91% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.73% (0.328 0.33)62.27% (-0.327 -0.33)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.684 -0.68)19.96% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87% (-1.114 -1.11)52.13% (1.116 1.12)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (1.136 1.14)22.35% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.16% (1.672 1.67)55.84% (-1.671 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 40.56%
    Aston Villa 35.67%
    Draw 23.77%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.264 -0.26)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.255 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 40.56%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.248 0.25)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.257 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.252 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.137 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.206 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.142 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.09 0.09)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.67%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Crystal Palace
57.7%
Draw
14.8%
Aston Villa
27.6%
196
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
3-1
Crystal Palace
Duran (87'), Luiz (90+8' pen.), Bailey (90+11')
McGinn (17'), Zaniolo (45+4'), Cash (86'), Duran (90+15'), Bailey (90+14')
Edouard (47')
Eze (17'), Hughes (53'), Ward (90+8')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Crystal Palace
3-1
Aston Villa
Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')
Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Aston Villa
1-1
Crystal Palace
Watkins (69')
Mings (9')
Schlupp (81')
Gallagher (14'), Edouard (76'), Kouyate (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
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Tuesday, July 9
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Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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