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Jean-Philippe Mateta
9'
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Joachim Andersen
24'
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Jean-Philippe Mateta
39'
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Eberechi Eze
54'
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Jean-Philippe Mateta
63'
-
Eberechi Eze
69'
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John McGinn
18'
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Lucas Digne
58'
-
Douglas Luiz
73'
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Clement Lenglet
90'+2'
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Crystal Palace Goals
Aston Villa Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.22)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.26)
4-1 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 40.56%
2-2 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.21)
1-4 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.15)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 35.67%
Head to Head
-
John McGinn
17'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
45'+4'
-
Matty Cash
86'
-
Jhon Duran
87'
-
Douglas Luiz
90'+8'
-
Leon Bailey
90'+11'
-
Leon Bailey
90'+14'
-
Jhon Duran
90'+15'
-
Eberechi Eze
17'
-
Odsonne Edouard
47'
-
Will Hughes
53'
-
Joel Ward
90'+8'
-
Joachim Andersen
27'
-
Wilfried Zaha
7'
-
Wilfried Zaha
39'
-
Wilfried Zaha
58'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
71'
-
Jeffrey Schlupp
75'
-
Ollie Watkins
5'
-
John McGinn
36'
-
Tyrone Mings
9'
-
Ollie Watkins
69'
-
Conor Gallagher
14'
-
Odsonne Edouard
76'
-
Jeffrey Schlupp
81'
-
Cheikhou Kouyate
89'
-
Wilfried Zaha
29'
-
Joel Ward
44'
-
Luka Milivojevic
56'
-
Marc Guehi
90'+5'
-
Matt Targett
15'
-
Matty Cash
29'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
54'
-
Douglas Luiz
74'
-
John McGinn
86'
-
Christian Benteke
32'
-
Joel Ward
73'
-
Wilfried Zaha
75'
-
Cheikhou Kouyate
82'
-
Tyrick Mitchell
84'
-
Wilfried Zaha
90'+2'
-
John McGinn
17'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
34'
-
John McGinn
50'
-
Kortney Hause
86'