Crawley Town
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crystal Palace logo

Crawley
3 - 6
Crystal Palace

Hepburn-Murphy (50', 60'), Roles (72')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Edouard (2'), Rak-Sakyi (4', 27'), Kamada (11'), Ayew (65'), Schlupp (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Crawley Town and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawCrystal Palace
45.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.34% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.76% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.027999999999999 0.03)44.81% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.029000000000003 0.03)67.16% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)52.08% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (0.027999999999999 0.03)63.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.22%
    Crystal Palace 30.34%
    Draw 24.43%
Crawley TownDrawCrystal Palace
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.34%

How you voted: Crawley vs Crystal Palace

Crawley Town
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Crystal Palace
80.0%
15
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Crawley
0-4
Crystal Palace
Mateta (8', 16'), Eze (23'), Ahamada (24')
Jul 27, 2013 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
3-0
Crystal Palace
Clarke (28'), Torres (75'), Sadler (88')
rhs 2.0


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