/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbarlo.png)
-
Marcus Rashford
16'
-
Antony
35'
-
Alejandro Garnacho
45'+2'
-
Alejandro Garnacho
49'
-
Marcus Rashford
58'
-
Christian Eriksen
81'
-
Christian Eriksen
85'
-
Gabriel Slonina
34'
-
Stephen Humphrys
72'
-
Corey O'Keeffe
90'+3'
Manchester United vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F38%2Fmanchester-united.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F38%2Ferik-ten-hag.jpeg)
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F38%2Fantgar.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F34%2Fmason-mount.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F33%2Fjoshua-zirkzee_1.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Ferik-ten-hag.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fmatthijs-de-ligt_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester United Goals
Barnsley Goals
Score analysis
3-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.50)
2-0 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.49)
1-0 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.59)
4-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.46)
4-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.45)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.29)
4-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.4%
2-2 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.26)
0-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.07%
0-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.35)
2-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.33)
1-3 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.48)
0-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.44)
0-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.31)
2-4 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.20)
1-4 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 28.53%
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F35%2Ferik-ten-hag.jpg)