League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
0 - 3
Barnsley

Forster (65'), Connell (84')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Pines (12'), Phillips (23', 45+2' pen.)
Pines (13'), Hepburn-Murphy (65'), Connell (85'), Yoganathan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Crawley
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Barnsley
30.73% ( 0.06)	22.81% ( -0.01)	46.46% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 63.84% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.08% (

0.06)

36.92% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.9% (

0.07)

59.1% (

-0.06)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3% (

0.07)

23.7% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.18% (

0.09)

57.82% (

-0.09)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

16.33% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08% (

45.92% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 30.73%

Barnsley 46.46%

Draw 22.8%

Crawley Town	Draw	Barnsley
2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.73%	1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.64% Total : 46.46%