League One
Gameweek
4
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbarlo.png)
-
Harry Forster
65'
-
Luca Connell
84'
-
Donovan Pines
12'
-
Donovan Pines
13'
-
Adam Phillips
23'
-
Adam Phillips
45'+2'
-
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
65'
-
Luca Connell
85'
-
Vimal Yoganathan
90'+4'
Crawley Town vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result
Crawley Town
30.73%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
22.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Barnsley
46.46%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
63.84%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.08%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
36.92%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
40.9%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
59.1%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
22.87%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
77.13%
▼
(-0.06)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
76.3%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
23.7%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
42.18%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
57.82%
▼
(-0.10)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5
83.67%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
16.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
54.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
45.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Crawley Town
30.73%
Draw
22.8%
Barnsley
46.46%
Crawley Town
2-1
@
7.27%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.73%
1-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.73%
Draw
1-1
@
10.09%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.8%
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.8%
Barnsley
1-2
@
9.15%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 46.46%
0-1 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 46.46%
