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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 63.85% ( | 19.86% ( | 16.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.21% ( | 39.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.86% ( | 62.13% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( | 11.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.95% ( | 37.04% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% ( | 37.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.67% ( | 74.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 3-0 @ 7.21% ( 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 4-0 @ 3.85% ( 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 3.91% Total : 63.84% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.86% | 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0-2 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 1-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 16.29% |