League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
3 - 2
Barnsley

Yengi (9'), Bishop (83' pen.), Shaughnessy (89')
Evans (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cole (6'), McAtee (59')
Durand de Gevigney (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Barnsley
43.55% ( -0.85)	23.39% ( -0.17)	33.06% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 62.83% (

1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.28% (

1.25)

38.71% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.98% (

1.31)

61.02% (

-1.3)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82% (

0.16)

18.17% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84% (

0.27)

49.16% (

-0.26)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78% (

1.19)

23.21% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.88% (

1.71)

57.12% (

-1.71)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 43.55%

Barnsley 33.06%

Draw 23.38%

Portsmouth	Draw	Barnsley
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.72% Total : 43.55%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.06%