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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackpool | Draw | Barnsley |
| 46.14% ( | 24% ( | 29.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( | 43.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( | 65.47% ( |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( | 18.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.69% ( | 50.31% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( | 27.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( | 62.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackpool | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.86% |