Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.