League One

League One | Gameweek 1

Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
1 - 2
Mansfield

Connell (32')
Earl (79')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Quinn (13'), Gregory (18')
Quinn (25'), Pym (66'), Nichols (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 0-4 Roma
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Matlock Town 0-3 Mansfield
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Mansfield Town
21.34% ( -6.26)	22.8% ( -1.92)	55.86% ( 8.17)

Both teams to score 54.41% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.85% (

2.46)

45.16% (

-2.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.5% (

2.31)

67.5% (

-2.31)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77% (

-4)

35.23% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01% (

-4.42)

71.99% (

4.41)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84% (

4.02)

16% (

-4.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.69% (

6.91)

45.32% (

-6.91)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 21.34%

Mansfield Town 55.86%

Draw 22.79%

Barnsley	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 5.88% ( -1.4) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( -1.19) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( -1.17) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.69) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.58) Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.34%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.93) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.79%	0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 9.47% ( 1.38) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.99) 0-3 @ 5.78% ( 1.45) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.74) 0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.91) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.26) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.36) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.41) Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.86%