MX23RW : Friday, October 4 08:07:10| >> :60:242:242:
Barnsley
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Derby logo

Barnsley
4 - 3
Derby

Hourihane (15'), Phillips (71'), Lofthouse (77'), Marsh (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendez-Laing (33', 58'), Collins (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Barnsley and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Mallorca
Friday, July 26 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Derby
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Derby County

With Wednesday's friendly against Derby being Barnsley's final tune-up match before their League One season starts, the home side are backed to end their pre-season preparations with success to boost the Reds before hosting Mansfield Town on August 9. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
34.71% (0.223 0.22) 26.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 38.77% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.38% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)52.46% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (-0.052 -0.05)74.13% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.11 0.11)28.8% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34% (0.136 0.14)64.66% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)26.42% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (-0.215 -0.22)61.59% (0.216 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 34.71%
    Derby County 38.77%
    Draw 26.5%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.45% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 38.77%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby

Barnsley
42.3%
Draw
19.2%
Derby County
38.5%
26
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Barnsley
2-1
Derby
Phillips (33', 66')
Earl (79'), Cosgrove (86'), Cole (90+1'), Roberts (90+8')
Bradley (18')
Nelson (86')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (35' pen., 63'), Forsyth (48')
Collins (17'), Forsyth (36')

Russell (65')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Barnsley
4-1
Derby
Cole (21', 45+2'), Phillips (33'), Thomas (90+4')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (45+1' pen.), Barkhuizen (60'), Knight (79')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
2-1
Barnsley
McCarthy (8' og.), Mendez-Laing (35')
Cashin (47')
Benson (64')
McCarthy (62')
rhs 2.0
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