/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcamlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Danny Andrew
41'
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Paul Digby
45'
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Louie Sibley
24'
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
39'
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Ebou Adams
45'
Cambridge United vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.89%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Cambridge United Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 14.73%
0-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.51%
0-2 @ 12.89%
1-2 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.75%