League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
0 - 1
Derby

Andrew (41'), Digby (45')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mendez-Laing (39')
Sibley (24'), Adams (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 3-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.89%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Derby County
14.73% ( 0.01)	22.51% ( 0)	62.76% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 43.18% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.18% (

0.01)

53.82% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.72% (

0.01)

75.29% (

-0.01)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.81% (

0.02)

48.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.63% (

0.02)

83.37% (

-0.02)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34%

16.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.48% (

-0)

46.52%

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 14.73%

Derby County 62.75%

Draw 22.51%

Cambridge United	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 14.73%	1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.51%	0-1 @ 14.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 12.89% 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.66% Total : 62.75%