League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
3 - 0
Leyton Orient

Moncur (10'), Bradley (18', 86')
Cashin (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Galbraith (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Derby
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Leyton Orient
56.96% ( 0)	23.95%	19.09% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.44% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31% (

-0)

52.69% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67% (

-0)

74.33% (

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.67%

18.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.58%

49.42% (

-0)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.08% (

-0.01)

41.92% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.63% (

-0.01)

78.36% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Derby County 56.96%

Leyton Orient 19.09%

Draw 23.94%

Derby County	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 13.03% 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.44% 4-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.32% Total : 56.96%	1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.94%	0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.09%