League One Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • George Moncur 10' goal
  • Sonny Bradley 18' goal
  • Eiran Cashin 82' yellowcard
  • Sonny Bradley 86' goal
  • yellowcard Ethan Galbraith 53'

Derby County vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2024 7.45pm
Wycombe 0 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
James Collins

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Leyton Orient 2 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joe Pigott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result

Derby County 56.96% (+0.01)
Draw 23.95%
Leyton Orient 19.09% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.44% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.31% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.69% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.67% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.33% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 11.79% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.21% (+0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 81.67%
Under 0.5 18.32% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.58%
Under 1.5 49.42% (-0.01)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 58.08% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 41.92% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.63% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.36% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Derby County 56.96%
Draw 23.94%
Leyton Orient 19.09%
Derby County
1-0 @ 13.03%
2-0 @ 11.06% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 6.26% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.44%
4-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 56.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 7.68% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.94%
Leyton Orient
0-1 @ 6.68%
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.09%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Brisbane Road
  • Brandon Cooper 44' redcard
  • Idris El Mizouni 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Hourihane 8'
  • goal Louie Sibley 34'
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 47'
  • goal Tom Barkhuizen 79'