Shrewsbury Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.