Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Birmingham City
29.2% ( 0.04)	28.02% ( 0.03)	42.78% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 46.11% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.42% (

-0.1)

59.58% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.08% (

-0.08)

79.92% (

0.08)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.67% (

-0.03)

36.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.88% (

-0.03)

73.11% (

0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

-0.09)

27.58% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

-0.12)

63.1% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 29.2%

Birmingham City 42.77%

Draw 28%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 29.2%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28%	0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 42.77%