Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
15.32% ( 0.03)	20.32% ( 0.03)	64.36% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.21% (

-0.07)

43.79% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.82% (

-0.07)

66.17% (

0.07)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.75%

41.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.22% (

77.78% (

-0)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12% (

-0.04)

12.88% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.73% (

-0.08)

39.27% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 15.32%

Mansfield Town 64.34%

Draw 20.32%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 15.32%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.32%	0-2 @ 11.15% 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 64.34%