/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Falflog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmanlog.png)
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Adam Lund
37'
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Deji Oshilaja
39'
Alfreton Town vs Mansfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result
Alfreton Town
15.32%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
20.32%
▲
(+0.03)
Mansfield Town
64.36%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
51.18%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.21%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
43.79%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
33.82%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
66.17%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
17.4%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
82.6%
▲
(+0.05)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5
58.75%
Under 0.5
41.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
22.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
77.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5
87.12%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
12.88%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
60.73%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
39.27%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Alfreton Town
15.32%
Draw
20.32%
Mansfield Town
64.34%
Alfreton Town
1-0
@
4.7%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29%
3-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 15.32%
2-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29%
3-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 15.32%
Draw
1-1
@
9.64%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.32%
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.32%
Mansfield Town
0-2
@
11.15%
0-1 @ 10.88% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 64.34%
0-1 @ 10.88% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 64.34%