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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 69.56% ( | 17.17% ( | 13.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.53% ( | 33.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.74% ( | 55.25% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.33% ( | 8.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.15% ( | 29.85% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.48% ( | 37.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.7% ( | 74.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 7.95% 3-0 @ 7.93% ( 3-1 @ 7.77% 4-0 @ 4.85% ( 4-1 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 5-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 2.33% 5-2 @ 1.14% 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 6-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 69.56% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.17% | 1-2 @ 3.82% ( 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0-2 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 1-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.93% Total : 13.27% |