League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
2 - 1
Gillingham

Keillor-Dunn (77'), McLaughlin (80')
Boateng (30')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dieng (19')
Jefferies (64'), Ehmer (86'), Masterson (86')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 3-0 Barrow
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Gillingham
65.29% ( -0.11)	19.41% ( 0.05)	15.29% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.24% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.28% (

-0.09)

39.72% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.93% (

-0.09)

62.07% (

0.08)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.59% (

-0.06)

11.4% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.83% (

-0.12)

36.16% (

0.11)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.22% (

0.03)

38.78% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.48% (

0.03)

75.51% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 65.29%

Gillingham 15.29%

Draw 19.41%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Gillingham
2-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.05% Total : 65.29%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.41%	1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.29%