Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.