Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Rotherham United
33.86% ( -0.01)	26.42% ( -0)	39.71% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.51% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

52.22% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.07% (

73.93% (

-0.01)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

-0)

29.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82% (

-0)

65.18% (

-0)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

25.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24% (

0.01)

60.75% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 33.86%

Rotherham United 39.71%

Draw 26.41%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.86%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.71%