National League North Gameweek 45
Alfreton
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Impact Arena
Spennymoor
  • James Oliver 12' goal
  • Jake Day 38' goal
  • goal Glen Taylor 76'

Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Alfreton 3 - 0 Gloucester City
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Jordan Thewlis

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 11, 2024 7.45pm
Spennymoor 5 - 2 Banbury
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Will Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result

Alfreton Town 62.34% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 22% ▲ (+0.16)
Spennymoor Town 15.66% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.68% ▼ (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.78% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 2.5 50.22% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 3.5 27.82% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 72.18% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 4.5 13.19% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 4.5 86.81% ▲ (+0.34)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 84.43% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 15.57% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 55.48% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 44.53% ▲ (+0.48)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 55.29% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 0.5 44.71% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 1.5 19.3% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 80.7% ▲ (+0.23)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 62.33%
Draw 22%
Spennymoor Town 15.66%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.94% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 62.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22%
Spennymoor Town
0-1 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 15.66%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 16
Spennymoor
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Brewery Field
Alfreton
  • Will Harris 42' goal
  • Danny Greenfield 60' goal
  • goal Dwayne Riley 8'
National League North Gameweek 24
Alfreton
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT The Impact Arena
Spennymoor
  • Dwayne Riley 2' goal
  • Matt Rhead 13' goal
  • Dominic Smith 28' goal
  • goal Paul Blackett 23'
  • goal Paul Blackett 69'
National League North Gameweek 3
Spennymoor
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
Alfreton
  • redcard Conor Branson 23'
National League North Gameweek 24
Alfreton
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Spennymoor
  • Conor Branson 40' goal
  • Ritchie Sutton 43' goal
  • Matt Rhead 58' goal
  • goal Frank Mulhern 19'
  • goal Glen Taylor 67'
National League North Gameweek 13
Spennymoor
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Alfreton
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 41'
  • goal Bailey Hobson 69'
National League North Gameweek 23
Spennymoor
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
Alfreton

Form Data

Alfreton 3 - 0 Gloucester City
Alfreton 0 - 0 Curzon Ashton
Chester 0 - 2 Alfreton
Alfreton 1 - 0 Rushall Olympic
Brackley Town 1 - 0 Alfreton
Alfreton 3 - 0 Bishop's Stortford
Spennymoor 5 - 2 Banbury
Scarborough Ath 1 - 1 Spennymoor
Spennymoor 3 - 1 Farsley Celtic
South Shields 2 - 0 Spennymoor
Spennymoor 1 - 0 Scunthorpe
Spennymoor 3 - 0 Gloucester City