National League North Gameweek 37
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • <TBD> 5' goal
  • Jordan Thewlis 38' goal
  • Liam Waldock 46' goal
  • Jordan Thewlis 54' goal

Alfreton Town vs Gloucester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
Alfreton 0 - 0 Curzon Ashton
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Jordan Thewlis

Gloucester City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
Gloucester City 1 - 6 Chester
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Brandon Smalley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result

Alfreton Town 67.68% (-0.71)
Draw 19.85% (+0.41)
Gloucester City 12.46% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.08% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.08% (-0.99)
Under 2.5 47.91% (+0.99)
Over 3.5 29.91% (-0.92)
Under 3.5 70.09% (+0.92)
Over 4.5 14.61% (-0.64)
Under 4.5 85.39% (+0.64)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 86.83% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 13.17% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 60.13% (-1.03)
Under 1.5 39.87% (+1.03)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5 51.92% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 48.08% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 16.71% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 83.29% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 67.67%
Draw 19.85%
Gloucester City 12.46%
Alfreton Town
2-0 @ 13.01% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 12.83% (+0.28)
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 8.79% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.13)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.16)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.81% (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 67.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.33% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.85%
Gloucester City
0-1 @ 4.64% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 3.44% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.7% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 12.46%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)
  • Joe Hanks 25' goal
  • Danny Wright 47' goal
  • Brandon Smalley 90'+5' goal
  • redcard Nathan Newall 45'
National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium
  • Tope Obadeyi 52' goal
  • goal Jordan Thewlis 82'
National League North Gameweek 13
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Impact Arena
  • Danny Preston 30' goal
  • goal Kieran Phillips 13'
  • goal Kieran Phillips 24'
National League North Gameweek 28
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Nugent 90'+5' redcard
National League North Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matt Rhead 52' goal
  • goal Tommy O'Sullivan 48'
National League North Gameweek 36
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm