National League North | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium
Alfreton Town

Scarborough Ath
0 - 1
Alfreton

FT(HT: 0-2)
(19'), Brisley (23')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 0-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawAlfreton Town
40.09% (-0.773 -0.77)25.8% (0.307 0.31)34.11% (0.463 0.46)
Both teams to score 54.61% (-0.933 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-1.252 -1.25)49.56% (1.246 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (-1.134 -1.13)71.59% (1.129 1.13)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-0.95100000000001 -0.95)24.39% (0.947 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-1.36 -1.36)58.81% (1.356 1.36)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (-0.322 -0.32)27.77% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (-0.412 -0.41)63.35% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 40.09%
    Alfreton Town 34.11%
    Draw 25.79%
Scarborough AthleticDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.222 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.337 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.359 0.36)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.182 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.11%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Alfreton
1-3
Scarborough Ath
Day (41')
Mulhern (36'), Green (39'), Colville (66')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Scarborough Ath
2-0
Alfreton
Coulson (79' pen.), Colville (85')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Alfreton
2-0
Scarborough Ath
Smith (53'), Cantrill (60')
rhs 2.0


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