League One

League One | Gameweek 3

Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 2
Northampton

Watters (26'), Phillips (46')
Earl (62'), Lofthouse (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McCarron (73'), Baldwin (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 2-3 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Northampton Town
41.44% ( -4.61)	25.45% ( -0.15)	33.1% ( 4.76)

Both teams to score 55.5% (

2.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.71% (

2.6)

48.29% (

-2.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.57% (

2.33)

70.43% (

-2.33)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

-1.07)

23.15% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.98% (

-1.59)

57.02% (

1.59)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22% (

4.59)

27.78% (

-4.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.64% (

5.52)

63.36% (

-5.52)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 41.44%

Northampton Town 33.1%

Draw 25.45%

Barnsley	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.41% ( -1.38) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -1.27) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.75) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.44%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.85) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.73) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.71) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.46) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.54) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.33) Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.1%