League One

League One | Gameweek 2

Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
2 - 1
Exeter

Morton (65'), McGeehan (78')
McGowan (55'), Mbete (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Crama (8')
Francis (35'), Cole (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Exeter (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Exeter City
25.33% ( -1.3)	24.65% ( -0.55)	50.02% ( 1.85)

Both teams to score 53.26% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.02% (

1.32)

48.98% (

-1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.94% (

1.18)

71.06% (

-1.18)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

-0.35)

33.75% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58% (

-0.39)

70.41% (

0.39)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4% (

1.3)

19.6% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.46% (

2.08)

51.54% (

-2.08)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 25.33%

Exeter City 50.02%

Draw 24.64%

Northampton Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.33%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.64%	0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.29) 0-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.02%