Exeter City
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Eastleigh

Exeter
3 - 0
Eastleigh

Crama (18'), Cole (41' pen.), Magennis (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Exeter City and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Eastleigh
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawEastleigh
52.81% (0.938 0.94)23.73% (-0.203 -0.2)23.47% (-0.734 -0.73)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22% (0.15 0.15)46.78% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (0.139 0.14)69.04% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (0.407 0.41)17.68% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.69% (0.703 0.7)48.31% (-0.703 -0.7)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83% (-0.56099999999999 -0.56)34.17% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (-0.606 -0.61)70.86% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 52.8%
    Eastleigh 23.47%
    Draw 23.73%
Exeter CityDrawEastleigh
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.07% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.075 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.8%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 23.47%

rhs 2.0


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