Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 2-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.