Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Exeter City
45.46% ( -0.08)	25.44% ( 0.01)	29.11% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 53.72% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.23% (

-0.01)

49.78% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.22% (

-0.01)

71.78% (

0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12% (

-0.04)

21.88% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.86% (

-0.06)

55.14% (

0.06)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77% (

0.05)

31.23% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.42% (

0.05)

67.58% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 45.45%

Exeter City 29.11%

Draw 25.43%

Bristol City	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.45%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.11%