Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 19.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Newport County
57.36% ( 5.57)	23.24% ( -1.33)	19.39% ( -4.24)

Both teams to score 49.99% (

-1.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46% (

0.62)

49.53% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.44% (

0.55)

71.56% (

-0.55)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97% (

2.32)

17.03% (

-2.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.83% (

3.95)

47.17% (

-3.95)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.25% (

-3.88)

39.75% (

3.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.58% (

-3.77)

76.42% (

3.77)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 57.36%

Newport County 19.39%

Draw 23.24%

Bristol City	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 1.24) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( 1.13) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.52) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.67) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.4) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.29) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.9% Total : 57.36%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.63) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.41) Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.24%	0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.87) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.89) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.77) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.48) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.39%