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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Salford City

Newport
0 - 1
Salford City


Jameson (13'), Morris (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (90+2')
Hendry (14'), McLennan (41'), Luamba (66')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Tranmere
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSalford City
34.05% (0.033000000000001 0.03)24.01% (0.010000000000002 0.01)41.94% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.88% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)41.4% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.2% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)63.8% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07%23.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.0019999999999953 0)58.14%
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)19.97% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.14% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 34.05%
    Salford City 41.94%
    Draw 24%
Newport CountyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.05%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 41.94%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Salford City
2-1
Newport
Lund (25'), Drysdale (45+6' og.)
Tilt (41')
Morris (31')
Wildig (5'), Morris (56'), Evans (61')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Salford City
3-1
Newport
Hendry (45+1'), McAleny (46'), Smith (90+5')
Charsley (29')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newport
2-3
Salford City
Bennett (72'), Bogle (75')
Demetriou (18'), Lewis (39'), Bogle (73')
Bolton (54'), Norman (57' og.), Leak (83')
Nartey (10'), Vassell (74')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Newport
0-2
Salford City

Norman (72')
Azaz (44' og.), Thomas-Asante (52')
Lund (72')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Salford City
3-0
Newport
Wright (1'), McAleny (18'), Henderson (30')
Touray (32'), Morris (41'), Henderson (60'), N’Mai (90+1')

Abraham (45+3'), Upson (72'), Norman (74')