League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Utilita Energy Stadium

Bradford
4 - 1
Newport

Kavanagh (44'), Cook (45+1'), Pointon (57'), Walker (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Charsley (65')
Evans (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Salford City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Bradford City	Draw	Newport County
50.34% ( -0.07)	24.85% ( 0.06)	24.81% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.1% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

-0.26)

50.26% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

-0.23)

72.21% (

0.23)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.02% (

-0.13)

19.97% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.85% (

-0.21)

52.14% (

0.21)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.1% (

-0.14)

34.89% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.37% (

-0.14)

71.63% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Bradford City 50.33%

Newport County 24.81%

Draw 24.84%

Bradford City	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 50.33%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.81%